lovedudley
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
A Lot of Motion, Not Much Progress
$21K net profit from $3.4M of volume, with a 66.7% win rate across 36 trades, a 61% skill score, and a 0.6% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 61%
- Confidence
- 91.8%
Win Rate
66.7%
Trades
36
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$20.6K
Total Vol
$3.4M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 36 resolved trades (Beta(26, 17))
Cumulative Realized P&L
36 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 36 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -22.7%
4 resolved positions
22 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (36)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 36
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$131
Win / Loss
13W / 7L
Win Rate
65.0%
Avg Return
+6.6%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.