cookie96
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$232 net profit from $59K of volume, with a 37.4% win rate across 123 trades, a 37% skill score, and a 0.4% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 37%
- Confidence
- 1.9%
Win Rate
37.4%
Trades
123
Net P&L
+$232
Total Vol
$59.0K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 123 resolved trades (Beta(24, 41))
Cumulative Realized P&L
123 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 123 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -5.2%
93 resolved positions
14 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (123)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 123
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$15,526
Win / Loss
9W / 11L
Win Rate
45.0%
Avg Return
+776.3%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.