0xF924...1812

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:crypto what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-march-2026

Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$2K net profit from $347K of volume, with a 100.0% win rate across 6 trades, a 59% skill score, and a 0.5% return on volume.

Only 6 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill: 59%
Confidence: 77.4%

Share on X

Win Rate

100.0%

Trades

Small Sample

Net P&L

+$1.6K

Total Vol

$347.2K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 6 resolved trades (Beta(9, 6))

Cumulative Realized P&L

6 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 6 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

No6W / 0L

100.0%

6 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (6)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–6 of 6

Market	Position	Shares	Total Traded	Avg Price	P&L	Closed
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUYNO	13,278.6	$13,172.34	0.992	+$106	Jul 2
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	BUYNO	81,480.8	$81,221.09	0.997	+$260	Jul 1
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	BUYNO	64,800.0	$64,476.00	0.995	+$324	Jun 2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	BUYNO	19,931.2	$19,831.52	0.995	+$100	May 31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	BUYNO	84,380.0	$83,958.10	0.995	+$402	May 2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUYNO	85,000.0	$84,575.00	0.995	+$425	Apr 2

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

BUYNO+$106

Shares13,278.6

Total Traded$13,172.34

Avg Price0.992

ClosedJul 2

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

BUYNO+$260

Shares81,480.8

Total Traded$81,221.09

Avg Price0.997

ClosedJul 1

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

BUYNO+$324

Shares64,800.0

Total Traded$64,476.00

Avg Price0.995

ClosedJun 2

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

BUYNO+$100

Shares19,931.2

Total Traded$19,831.52

Avg Price0.995

ClosedMay 31

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

BUYNO+$402

Shares84,380.0

Total Traded$83,958.10

Avg Price0.995

ClosedMay 2

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

BUYNO+$425

Shares85,000.0

Total Traded$84,575.00

Avg Price0.995

ClosedApr 2

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

Bet size

Total P&L

+$3

Win / Loss

6W / 0L

Win Rate

100.0%

Avg Return

+0.5%

1–5 of 6

#MarketSideSharesAvg PriceTotal TradedP&LReturn

1Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Jul 2, 2026 @ 99.2¢BUYNO100.899.2¢$100+$1+0.8%

2Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Jul 1, 2026 @ 99.7¢BUYNO100.399.7¢$100+$0+0.3%

3Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?Jun 2, 2026 @ 99.5¢BUYNO100.599.5¢$100+$1+0.5%

4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?May 31, 2026 @ 99.5¢BUYNO100.599.5¢$100+$1+0.5%

5Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?May 2, 2026 @ 99.5¢BUYNO100.599.5¢$100+$1+0.5%

#1Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jul 2, 2026 @ 99.2¢

+$1

BUYNO+0.8%

#2Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Jul 1, 2026 @ 99.7¢

+$0

BUYNO+0.3%

#3Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

Jun 2, 2026 @ 99.5¢

+$1

BUYNO+0.5%

#4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

May 31, 2026 @ 99.5¢

+$1

BUYNO+0.5%

#5Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

May 2, 2026 @ 99.5¢

+$1

BUYNO+0.5%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 6 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.