pirate...1313
Last updated Jul 15, 03:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$304K net profit from $1.5M of volume, with a 49.0% win rate across 196 trades, a 48% skill score, and a 20.1% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 48%
- Confidence
- 33.4%
Win Rate
49.0%
Trades
196
Net P&L
+$303.6K
Total Vol
$1.5M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 196 resolved trades (Beta(62, 66))
Cumulative Realized P&L
196 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 196 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -52.4%
110 resolved positions
54 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (196)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 196
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$881
Win / Loss
8W / 12L
Win Rate
40.0%
Avg Return
-44.1%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.