Skip to main content
LUCKORSKILL
Back to Leaderboard

S-Works

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:sportsworld-cup-winner
Lucky

Wallet Verdict

A Lot of Motion, Not Much Progress

$24K net loss from $7.1M of volume, with a 29.8% win rate across 252 trades, a 31% skill score, and a -0.3% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
31%
Confidence
0%
Share on X

Win Rate

29.8%

Trades

252

Net P&L

−$24.1K

Total Vol

$7.1M

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 252 resolved trades (Beta(75, 168))

Cumulative Realized P&L

252 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 252 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -54.4%

Yes11W / 129L
7.9%

140 resolved positions

No28W / 17L
62.2%

45 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (252)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 252

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
BUYBILIBILI GAMING−$131.7K
Shares172,347.4
Total Traded$131,730.13
Avg Price0.764
ClosedJul 12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+$3.5K
Shares57,539.6
Total Traded$25,317.44
Avg Price0.440
ClosedJul 12
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
BUYNO+$1.3K
Shares15,850.7
Total Traded$14,556.80
Avg Price0.918
ClosedJul 12
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$1.1K
Shares13,438.9
Total Traded$12,229.40
Avg Price0.910
ClosedJul 12
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
BUYOVER+$120.0K
Shares240,000.0
Total Traded$120,000.00
Avg Price0.500
ClosedJul 11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+$48.2K
Shares552,379.5
Total Traded$504,156.77
Avg Price0.913
ClosedJul 11
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
BUYCOLORADO ROCKIES+$7.7K
Shares25,984.2
Total Traded$18,263.63
Avg Price0.703
ClosedJul 11
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
BUYDAMIAN PINAS+$48.3K
Shares161,003.7
Total Traded$112,702.59
Avg Price0.700
ClosedJul 11
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
BUYNO+$28
Shares470.1
Total Traded$441.92
Avg Price0.940
ClosedJul 10
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
BUYNO+$970
Shares14,135.7
Total Traded$13,165.55
Avg Price0.931
ClosedJul 10

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$55

Win / Loss

14W / 6L

Win Rate

70.0%

Avg Return

+2.7%

1–5 of 20

#1LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Jul 12, 2026 @ 76.4¢
$100
BUYBILIBILI GAMING-100.0%
#2LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Jul 12, 2026 @ 44.0¢
+$127
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+127.3%
#3Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 91.8¢
+$9
BUYNO+8.9%
#4Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 91.0¢
+$10
BUYNO+9.9%
#5Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Jul 11, 2026 @ 50.0¢
+$100
BUYOVER+100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.