rodrigr28
Last updated Jul 14, 05:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$18K net profit from $194K of volume, with a 28.1% win rate across 171 trades, a 31% skill score, and a 9.3% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 31%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
28.1%
Trades
171
Net P&L
+$18.0K
Total Vol
$194.1K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 171 resolved trades (Beta(37, 81))
Cumulative Realized P&L
171 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 171 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -44.4%
54 resolved positions
12 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (171)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 171
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$1,260
Win / Loss
13W / 7L
Win Rate
65.0%
Avg Return
+63.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.