Pog
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$65 net profit from $1K of volume, with a 100.0% win rate across 2 trades, a 50% skill score, and a 5.7% return on volume.
Only 2 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 50%
- Confidence
- 48.8%
Win Rate
100.0%
Trades
2
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$65
Total Vol
$1.1K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 2 resolved trades (Beta(6, 6))
Cumulative Realized P&L
2 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 2 resolved trades.
Win Rate by Side
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (2)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–2 of 2
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$53
Win / Loss
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
Avg Return
+26.4%
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 2 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.