Gucky-45
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$471K net profit from $724K of volume, with a 33.2% win rate across 205 trades, a 33% skill score, and a 65.1% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 33%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
33.2%
Trades
205
Net P&L
+$471.3K
Total Vol
$723.9K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 205 resolved trades (Beta(70, 140))
Cumulative Realized P&L
205 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 205 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -58.3%
196 resolved positions
9 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (205)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 205
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$3,300
Win / Loss
2W / 18L
Win Rate
10.0%
Avg Return
+165.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.