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0xe0f4...e55f

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$1K net profit from $24K of volume, with a 66.7% win rate across 3 trades, a 46% skill score, and a 4.3% return on volume.

Only 3 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill
46%
Confidence
37.4%
Share on X

Win Rate

66.7%

Trades

3

Small Sample

Net P&L

+$1.0K

Total Vol

$23.7K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 3 resolved trades (Beta(6, 7))

Cumulative Realized P&L

3 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 3 resolved trades.

Win Rate by Side

Yes1W / 0L
100.0%

1 resolved position

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (3)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

13 of 3

BUYUNDER$3.8K
Shares7,724.7
Total Traded$3,785.08
Avg Price0.490
ClosedJul 1
BUYYES+$2.5K
Shares14,646.0
Total Traded$12,156.18
Avg Price0.830
ClosedJul 1
BUYKOREA REPUBLIC+$2.3K
Shares10,070.0
Total Traded$7,753.90
Avg Price0.770
ClosedJun 19

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$50

Win / Loss

2W / 1L

Win Rate

66.7%

Avg Return

-16.5%

#1England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Jul 1, 2026 @ 49.0¢
$100
BUYUNDER-100.0%
#2Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 1, 2026 @ 83.0¢
+$20
BUYYES+20.5%
#3Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Jun 19, 2026 @ 77.0¢
+$30
BUYKOREA REPUBLIC+29.9%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 3 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.