Odin.Valhal
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Wins Often, Loses Bigger
$479 net loss from $71K of volume, with a 88.3% win rate across 60 trades, a 80% skill score, and a -0.7% return on volume.
Frequent wins are being outweighed by entry prices, position sizing, or larger losses.
- Skill
- 80%
- Confidence
- >99.9%
Win Rate
88.3%
Trades
60
Net P&L
−$479
Total Vol
$70.9K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 60 resolved trades (Beta(42, 10))
Cumulative Realized P&L
60 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 60 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +4.2%
12 resolved positions
48 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (60)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 60
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$101
Win / Loss
19W / 1L
Win Rate
95.0%
Avg Return
+5.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.