bin748...4848
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
A Lot of Motion, Not Much Progress
$11K net profit from $1.1M of volume, with a 58.1% win rate across 217 trades, a 57% skill score, and a 0.9% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 57%
- Confidence
- 98.5%
Win Rate
58.1%
Trades
217
Net P&L
+$10.5K
Total Vol
$1.1M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 217 resolved trades (Beta(127, 95))
Cumulative Realized P&L
217 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 217 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -56.2%
46 resolved positions
45 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (217)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 217
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$348
Win / Loss
14W / 6L
Win Rate
70.0%
Avg Return
+17.4%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.