payose
Last updated Jul 24, 05:05 PM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$3K net profit from $28K of volume, with a 56.7% win rate across 30 trades, a 42% skill score, and a 9.1% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 42%
- Confidence
- 19.5%
Win Rate
56.7%
Trades
30
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$2.6K
Total Vol
$28.5K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 30 resolved trades (Beta(13, 18))
Cumulative Realized P&L
30 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 30 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
30 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (30)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 30
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$73,039
Win / Loss
7W / 13L
Win Rate
35.0%
Avg Return
+3652.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.