Skip to main content
LUCKORSKILL
Back to Leaderboard

1922

Last updated Jul 14, 09:02 AM

Top activity:sportsworld-cup-winner
Skilled

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$22K net profit from $719K of volume, with a 67.8% win rate across 199 trades, a 66% skill score, and a 3.0% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
66%
Confidence
>99.9%
Share on X

Win Rate

67.8%

Trades

199

Net P&L

+$21.6K

Total Vol

$719.1K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 199 resolved trades (Beta(129, 66))

Cumulative Realized P&L

199 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 199 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -27.1%

Yes6W / 8L
42.9%

14 resolved positions

No42W / 18L
70.0%

60 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (199)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 199

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES+$6.6K
Shares27,045.9
Total Traded$4,597.81
Avg Price0.170
ClosedJul 13
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO−$2.3K
Shares6,910.9
Total Traded$2,349.70
Avg Price0.340
ClosedJul 13
Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Corners
BUYUNDER+$207
Shares559.8
Total Traded$352.66
Avg Price0.630
ClosedJul 12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners
BUYUNDER−$225
Shares500.0
Total Traded$225.00
Avg Price0.450
ClosedJul 12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$6.7K
Shares109,999.7
Total Traded$103,240.11
Avg Price0.939
ClosedJul 12
Norway vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners
BUYUNDER+$195
Shares240.6
Total Traded$45.72
Avg Price0.190
ClosedJul 12
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$119
Shares485.9
Total Traded$366.89
Avg Price0.755
ClosedJul 12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO−$7.8K
Shares111,000.2
Total Traded$90,038.78
Avg Price0.811
ClosedJul 12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
BUYARGENTINA+$4.5K
Shares20,999.7
Total Traded$16,542.06
Avg Price0.788
ClosedJul 12
Norway vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Corners
BUYUNDER+$325
Shares499.9
Total Traded$174.98
Avg Price0.350
ClosedJul 12

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$519

Win / Loss

11W / 9L

Win Rate

55.0%

Avg Return

+26.0%

1–5 of 20

#1Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 13, 2026 @ 17.0¢
+$488
BUYYES+488.2%
#2Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 13, 2026 @ 34.0¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#3Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Corners
Jul 12, 2026 @ 63.0¢
+$59
BUYUNDER+58.7%
#4Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners
Jul 12, 2026 @ 45.0¢
$100
BUYUNDER-100.0%
#5Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 93.9¢
+$7
BUYNO+6.5%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.