tiger555
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$363 net profit from $12K of volume, with a 87.0% win rate across 23 trades, a 70% skill score, and a 3.2% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 70%
- Confidence
- 98.7%
Win Rate
87.0%
Trades
23
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$363
Total Vol
$11.5K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 23 resolved trades (Beta(20, 9))
Cumulative Realized P&L
23 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 23 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
23 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (23)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 23
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$140,957
Win / Loss
17W / 3L
Win Rate
85.0%
Avg Return
+7047.8%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.