wowzers99
Last updated Jul 16, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$19K net profit from $103K of volume, with a 28.2% win rate across 39 trades, a 39% skill score, and a 18.8% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 39%
- Confidence
- 11%
Win Rate
28.2%
Trades
39
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$19.4K
Total Vol
$103.2K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 39 resolved trades (Beta(13, 20))
Cumulative Realized P&L
39 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 39 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +17.4%
23 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (39)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 39
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$527
Win / Loss
7W / 13L
Win Rate
35.0%
Avg Return
-26.4%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.