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DOKTOR...MIRZ

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Edge

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$34K net profit from $852K of volume, with a 53.5% win rate across 43 trades, a 49% skill score, and a 4.0% return on volume.

The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.

Skill
49%
Confidence
44.1%
Share on X

Win Rate

53.5%

Trades

43

Medium Sample

Net P&L

+$34.0K

Total Vol

$852.2K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 43 resolved trades (Beta(24, 25))

Cumulative Realized P&L

43 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 43 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -10.1%

Yes5W / 6L
45.5%

11 resolved positions

No10W / 8L
55.6%

18 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (43)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

110 of 43

BUYNO+$10.0K
Shares20,002.1
Total Traded$10,000.99
Avg Price0.500
ClosedJul 12
BUYBEN SHELTON$44.9K
Shares69,999.5
Total Traded$44,880.01
Avg Price0.641
ClosedJul 11
BUYNO$20.0K
Shares50,000.0
Total Traded$20,000.00
Avg Price0.400
ClosedJul 11
BUYNO$36.0K
Shares125,288.7
Total Traded$35,999.83
Avg Price0.287
ClosedJul 11
BUYNO$5.0K
Shares10,022.4
Total Traded$5,010.99
Avg Price0.500
ClosedJul 11
BUYYES$12.5K
Shares41,395.4
Total Traded$12,479.90
Avg Price0.301
ClosedJul 11
BUYCELTICS$2.0K
Shares2,926.5
Total Traded$1,990.00
Avg Price0.680
ClosedJul 11
BUYYES$3.6K
Shares20,081.4
Total Traded$3,599.97
Avg Price0.179
ClosedJul 11
BUYNO$10.0K
Shares24,392.6
Total Traded$10,000.95
Avg Price0.410
ClosedJul 11
BUYMAGIC$3.9K
Shares9,810.9
Total Traded$3,949.99
Avg Price0.403
ClosedJul 11

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$6,358

Win / Loss

7W / 13L

Win Rate

35.0%

Avg Return

+317.9%

15 of 20

#1Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 50.0¢
+$100
BUYNO+100.0%
#2Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton
Jul 11, 2026 @ 64.1¢
$100
BUYBEN SHELTON-100.0%
#3Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Jul 11, 2026 @ 40.0¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#4Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Jul 11, 2026 @ 28.7¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#5Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Jul 11, 2026 @ 50.0¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.