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0xcf19...6402

Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM

Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$306 net profit from $17K of volume, with a 100.0% win rate across 2 trades, a 48% skill score, and a 1.8% return on volume.

Only 2 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill
48%
Confidence
45.5%
Share on X

Win Rate

100.0%

Trades

2

Small Sample

Net P&L

+$306

Total Vol

$16.7K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 2 resolved trades (Beta(6, 6))

Cumulative Realized P&L

2 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 2 resolved trades.

Win Rate by Side

Yes2W / 0L
100.0%

2 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (2)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

12 of 2

BUYYES+$21
Shares51,090.4
Total Traded$4,342.63
Avg Price0.085
ClosedJun 17
BUYYES+$285
Shares6,630.4
Total Traded$271.85
Avg Price0.041
ClosedMay 28

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$3,416

Win / Loss

2W / 0L

Win Rate

100.0%

Avg Return

+1707.8%

#1Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jun 17, 2026 @ 8.5¢
+$1,076
BUYYES+1076.5%
#2Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
May 28, 2026 @ 4.1¢
+$2,339
BUYYES+2339.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 2 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.