HOG993
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
High-Volume Winner
$1.9M net profit from $5.6M of volume, with a 31.0% win rate across 197 trades, a 31% skill score, and a 33.8% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 31%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
31.0%
Trades
197
Net P&L
+$1.9M
Total Vol
$5.6M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 197 resolved trades (Beta(62, 140))
Cumulative Realized P&L
198 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 198 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -78.1%
148 resolved positions
39 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (198)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 198
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$2,000
Win / Loss
0W / 20L
Win Rate
0.0%
Avg Return
-100.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.