luck00004
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$54K net profit from $216K of volume, with a 66.7% win rate across 21 trades, a 58% skill score, and a 25.2% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 58%
- Confidence
- 81.9%
Win Rate
66.7%
Trades
21
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$54.5K
Total Vol
$216.0K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 21 resolved trades (Beta(17, 12))
Cumulative Realized P&L
21 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 21 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -46.7%
15 resolved positions
6 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (21)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 21
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$693
Win / Loss
14W / 6L
Win Rate
70.0%
Avg Return
+34.6%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.