euro-catcher
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$8K net loss from $275K of volume, with a 46.6% win rate across 234 trades, a 46% skill score, and a -3.0% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 46%
- Confidence
- 12.7%
Win Rate
46.6%
Trades
234
Net P&L
−$8.3K
Total Vol
$275.3K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 234 resolved trades (Beta(110, 128))
Cumulative Realized P&L
234 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 234 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +38.0%
13 resolved positions
17 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (234)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 234
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$972
Win / Loss
11W / 9L
Win Rate
55.0%
Avg Return
+48.6%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.