Countryside
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$3.4M net loss from $14.1M of volume, with a 39.7% win rate across 204 trades, a 39% skill score, and a -24.0% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 39%
- Confidence
- 0.2%
Win Rate
39.7%
Trades
204
Net P&L
−$3.4M
Total Vol
$14.1M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 204 resolved trades (Beta(73, 111))
Cumulative Realized P&L
204 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 204 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -27.5%
31 resolved positions
23 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (204)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 204
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$1,279
Win / Loss
3W / 17L
Win Rate
15.0%
Avg Return
-64.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.