Donkov
Last updated Jul 27, 04:03 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$345 net profit from $9K of volume, with a 68.4% win rate across 19 trades, a 55% skill score, and a 3.7% return on volume.
Only 19 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 55%
- Confidence
- 67.8%
Win Rate
68.4%
Trades
19
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$345
Total Vol
$9.2K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 19 resolved trades (Beta(13, 11))
Cumulative Realized P&L
19 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 19 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
19 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (19)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 19
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$120,394
Win / Loss
13W / 6L
Win Rate
68.4%
Avg Return
+6336.5%
1–5 of 19
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 19 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.