0xbba8...b4f8
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$6K net loss from $110K of volume, with a 18.2% win rate across 11 trades, a 41% skill score, and a -5.3% return on volume.
Only 11 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 41%
- Confidence
- 25.2%
Win Rate
18.2%
Trades
11
Small Sample
Net P&L
−$5.8K
Total Vol
$110.4K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 11 resolved trades (Beta(5, 7))
Cumulative Realized P&L
11 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 11 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +22.2%
9 resolved positions
1 resolved position
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (11)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 11
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$297
Win / Loss
2W / 9L
Win Rate
18.2%
Avg Return
-27.0%
1–5 of 11
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 11 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.