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0xbba2...24fe

Last updated Jul 14, 08:02 PM

Top activity:fifwc-arg-egy-2026-07-07
Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Wins Often, Loses Bigger

$1K net loss from $2K of volume, with a 65.6% win rate across 32 trades, a 59% skill score, and a -50.0% return on volume.

Frequent wins are being outweighed by entry prices, position sizing, or larger losses.

Skill
59%
Confidence
88.4%
Share on X

Win Rate

65.6%

Trades

32

Medium Sample

Net P&L

−$1.2K

Total Vol

$2.5K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 32 resolved trades (Beta(23, 16))

Cumulative Realized P&L

32 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 32 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: +5.6%

Yes5W / 4L
55.6%

9 resolved positions

No2W / 2L
50.0%

4 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (32)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 32

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5
BUYOVER−$492
Shares664.4
Total Traded$491.67
Avg Price0.740
ClosedJul 14
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
BUYYES−$228
Shares786.5
Total Traded$267.42
Avg Price0.340
ClosedJul 7
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
BUYYES−$498
Shares4,395.3
Total Traded$307.67
Avg Price0.070
ClosedJul 7
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5
BUYOVER+$33
Shares160.2
Total Traded$126.52
Avg Price0.790
ClosedJul 7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
BUYNO−$54
Shares199.2
Total Traded$157.40
Avg Price0.790
ClosedJul 7
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
BUYNO+$33
Shares127.9
Total Traded$94.68
Avg Price0.740
ClosedJul 5
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5
BUYUNDER+$10
Shares55.6
Total Traded$44.49
Avg Price0.800
ClosedJul 4
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
BUYOVER+$23
Shares80.9
Total Traded$58.24
Avg Price0.720
ClosedJul 4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
BUYARGENTINA+$1
Shares5.9
Total Traded$4.59
Avg Price0.773
ClosedJul 4
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
BUYYES+$16
Shares95.9
Total Traded$79.60
Avg Price0.830
ClosedJul 4

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$70

Win / Loss

13W / 7L

Win Rate

65.0%

Avg Return

-3.5%

1–5 of 20

#1Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5
Jul 14, 2026 @ 74.0¢
$100
BUYOVER-100.0%
#2Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Jul 7, 2026 @ 34.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#3Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Jul 7, 2026 @ 7.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#4United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5
Jul 7, 2026 @ 79.0¢
+$27
BUYOVER+26.6%
#5Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Jul 7, 2026 @ 79.0¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.