JackLogan
Last updated Jul 16, 05:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$17K net profit from $121K of volume, with a 53.3% win rate across 30 trades, a 40% skill score, and a 13.8% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 40%
- Confidence
- 19.3%
Win Rate
53.3%
Trades
30
Medium Sample
Net P&L
+$16.7K
Total Vol
$121.1K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 30 resolved trades (Beta(7, 10))
Cumulative Realized P&L
30 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 30 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -19.6%
17 resolved positions
12 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (30)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 30
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$306
Win / Loss
10W / 10L
Win Rate
50.0%
Avg Return
-15.3%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.