highnetworth
Last updated Jul 13, 09:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Big Winner, Small Sample
$539K net profit from $1.2M of volume, with a 66.7% win rate across 9 trades, a 53% skill score, and a 46.3% return on volume.
Only 9 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 53%
- Confidence
- 59%
Win Rate
66.7%
Trades
9
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$539.2K
Total Vol
$1.2M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 9 resolved trades (Beta(10, 9))
Cumulative Realized P&L
9 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 9 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +0.0%
1 resolved position
1 resolved position
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (9)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–9 of 9
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$216
Win / Loss
6W / 3L
Win Rate
66.7%
Avg Return
+24.0%
1–5 of 9
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 9 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.