letsfackingo
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$41 net profit from $519 of volume, with a 75.0% win rate across 4 trades, a 52% skill score, and a 7.9% return on volume.
Only 4 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 52%
- Confidence
- 55.9%
Win Rate
75.0%
Trades
4
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$41
Total Vol
$519
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 4 resolved trades (Beta(7, 6))
Cumulative Realized P&L
4 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 4 resolved trades.
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -50.0%
2 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (4)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–4 of 4
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$2,008
Win / Loss
3W / 1L
Win Rate
75.0%
Avg Return
+501.9%
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 4 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.