sainta...twin
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$44K net profit from $445K of volume, with a 34.2% win rate across 202 trades, a 35% skill score, and a 9.9% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 35%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
34.2%
Trades
202
Net P&L
+$44.3K
Total Vol
$444.8K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 202 resolved trades (Beta(69, 130))
Cumulative Realized P&L
202 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 202 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -9.3%
59 resolved positions
4 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (202)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 202
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$466
Win / Loss
9W / 11L
Win Rate
45.0%
Avg Return
+23.3%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.