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Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$39K net profit from $3.5M of volume, with a 49.8% win rate across 301 trades, a 49% skill score, and a 1.1% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 49%
- Confidence
- 43%
Win Rate
49.8%
Trades
301
Net P&L
+$38.9K
Total Vol
$3.5M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 301 resolved trades (Beta(147, 150))
Cumulative Realized P&L
301 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 301 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +21.6%
71 resolved positions
62 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (301)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 301
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$1,306
Win / Loss
10W / 10L
Win Rate
50.0%
Avg Return
+65.3%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.