TB14
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$14K net profit from $324K of volume, with a 31.5% win rate across 200 trades, a 32% skill score, and a 4.3% return on volume.
Profit depends more on payoff size than win frequency, so drawdowns may be uneven.
- Skill
- 32%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
31.5%
Trades
200
Net P&L
+$13.8K
Total Vol
$323.9K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 200 resolved trades (Beta(63, 135))
Cumulative Realized P&L
200 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 200 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +30.0%
130 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (200)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 200
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$1,177
Win / Loss
3W / 17L
Win Rate
15.0%
Avg Return
-58.9%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.