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gud.hl

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

The Market Collected

$3K net loss from $3K of volume, with a 0.0% win rate across 1 trades, a 39% skill score, and a -100.0% return on volume.

Only 1 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill
39%
Confidence
22.3%
Share on X

Win Rate

0.0%

Trades

1

Small Sample

Net P&L

−$3.0K

Total Vol

$3.0K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 1 resolved trades (Beta(4, 6))

Cumulative Realized P&L

1 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 1 resolved trade.

Win Rate by Side

Yes0W / 1L
0.0%

1 resolved position

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (1)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

11 of 1

BUYYES$3.0K
Shares113,287.6
Total Traded$3,007.45
Avg Price0.027
ClosedDec 10

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$100

Win / Loss

0W / 1L

Win Rate

0.0%

Avg Return

-100.0%

#1No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Dec 10, 2025 @ 2.7¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 1 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.