lookaon
Last updated Jul 14, 08:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$418K net profit from $4.1M of volume, with a 84.2% win rate across 76 trades, a 79% skill score, and a 10.2% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 79%
- Confidence
- >99.9%
Win Rate
84.2%
Trades
76
Net P&L
+$418.0K
Total Vol
$4.1M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 76 resolved trades (Beta(61, 16))
Cumulative Realized P&L
76 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 76 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +0.0%
15 resolved positions
6 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (76)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 76
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$490
Win / Loss
19W / 1L
Win Rate
95.0%
Avg Return
+24.5%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.