0xa0f2...1848
Last updated Jul 15, 11:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$72K net profit from $1.2M of volume, with a 50.0% win rate across 202 trades, a 49% skill score, and a 6.1% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 49%
- Confidence
- 44.2%
Win Rate
50.0%
Trades
202
Net P&L
+$72.3K
Total Vol
$1.2M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 202 resolved trades (Beta(104, 106))
Cumulative Realized P&L
202 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 202 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -30.0%
15 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (202)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 202
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$278
Win / Loss
11W / 9L
Win Rate
55.0%
Avg Return
-13.9%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.