hedgev...net1
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$8K net loss from $535K of volume, with a 56.1% win rate across 214 trades, a 55% skill score, and a -1.4% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 55%
- Confidence
- 94.7%
Win Rate
56.1%
Trades
214
Net P&L
−$7.6K
Total Vol
$534.7K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 214 resolved trades (Beta(120, 97))
Cumulative Realized P&L
214 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 214 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -24.7%
65 resolved positions
85 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (214)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 214
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$800
Win / Loss
16W / 4L
Win Rate
80.0%
Avg Return
+40.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.