Golden...a168
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$72K net loss from $2.2M of volume, with a 52.4% win rate across 164 trades, a 52% skill score, and a -3.3% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 52%
- Confidence
- 70.1%
Win Rate
52.4%
Trades
164
Net P&L
−$72.2K
Total Vol
$2.2M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 164 resolved trades (Beta(63, 58))
Cumulative Realized P&L
164 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 164 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -24.1%
39 resolved positions
50 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (164)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 164
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$564
Win / Loss
13W / 7L
Win Rate
65.0%
Avg Return
+28.2%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.