0x8ae0...b4ce
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$91 net profit from $20K of volume, with a 38.5% win rate across 13 trades, a 39% skill score, and a 0.5% return on volume.
Only 13 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 39%
- Confidence
- 14.1%
Win Rate
38.5%
Trades
13
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$91
Total Vol
$20.1K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 13 resolved trades (Beta(8, 13))
Cumulative Realized P&L
13 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 13 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -16.7%
9 resolved positions
4 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (13)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 13
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$32,154
Win / Loss
5W / 8L
Win Rate
38.5%
Avg Return
+2473.4%
1–5 of 13
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 13 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.