Skip to main content
Back to Leaderboard

0x8788...8aa8

Last updated Jul 25, 02:03 PM

Edge

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$8 net profit from $16K of volume, with a 52.0% win rate across 25 trades, a 49% skill score, and a 0.0% return on volume.

The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.

Skill
49%
Confidence
44.5%
Share on X

Win Rate

52.0%

Trades

25

Medium Sample

Net P&L

+$8

Total Vol

$16.1K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 25 resolved trades (Beta(16, 17))

Cumulative Realized P&L

25 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 25 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -54.5%

Yes10W / 12L
45.5%

22 resolved positions

No3W / 0L
100.0%

3 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (25)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

110 of 25

BUYYES$2
Shares15.4
Total Traded$2.00
Avg Price0.130
ClosedJul 20
BUYYES$20
Shares2,000.0
Total Traded$20.00
Avg Price0.010
ClosedJul 20
BUYYES+$2
Shares3.8
Total Traded$2.20
Avg Price0.584
ClosedJul 20
BUYYES+$4
Shares94,352.9
Total Traded$471.76
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES+$4
Shares39,711.6
Total Traded$198.56
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES+$0
Shares4,666.7
Total Traded$23.33
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES$4
Shares6,019.8
Total Traded$30.10
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES$4
Shares2,000.0
Total Traded$12.00
Avg Price0.006
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES+$3
Shares29,952.1
Total Traded$149.76
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 17
BUYYES+$24
Shares104,475.8
Total Traded$626.85
Avg Price0.006
ClosedJul 17

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$155,146

Win / Loss

12W / 8L

Win Rate

60.0%

Avg Return

+7757.3%

15 of 20

#1Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 20, 2026 @ 13.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#2Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 20, 2026 @ 1.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#3Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 20, 2026 @ 58.4¢
+$71
BUYYES+71.2%
#4Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Jul 17, 2026 @ 0.5¢
+$19,900
BUYYES+19900.0%
#5Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Jul 17, 2026 @ 0.5¢
+$19,900
BUYYES+19900.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.