mooseborzoi
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$1.4M net loss from $3.1M of volume, with a 38.4% win rate across 211 trades, a 38% skill score, and a -44.3% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 38%
- Confidence
- 0%
Win Rate
38.4%
Trades
211
Net P&L
−$1.4M
Total Vol
$3.1M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 211 resolved trades (Beta(85, 135))
Cumulative Realized P&L
211 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 211 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +2.5%
50 resolved positions
34 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (211)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 211
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$676
Win / Loss
9W / 11L
Win Rate
45.0%
Avg Return
+33.8%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.