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Yang-H

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:ethereum-all-time-high-in-2024
Edge

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$12K net profit from $146K of volume, with a 69.5% win rate across 59 trades, a 46% skill score, and a 8.3% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
46%
Confidence
29.3%
Share on X

Win Rate

69.5%

Trades

59

Net P&L

+$12.2K

Total Vol

$145.9K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 59 resolved trades (Beta(18, 22))

Cumulative Realized P&L

59 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 59 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -59.5%

Yes8W / 15L
34.8%

23 resolved positions

No33W / 2L
94.3%

35 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (59)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 59

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?
BUYYES−$65
Shares2,708.3
Total Traded$65.00
Avg Price0.024
ClosedJul 12
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
BUYOVER−$1.5K
Shares2,644.4
Total Traded$1,520.52
Avg Price0.575
ClosedJul 11
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
BUYYES−$30
Shares710.7
Total Traded$29.85
Avg Price0.042
ClosedJul 11
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
BUYYES−$30
Shares248.8
Total Traded$29.85
Avg Price0.120
ClosedJul 11
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES+$1.3K
Shares2,434.6
Total Traded$1,086.87
Avg Price0.446
ClosedJul 10
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
BUYYES−$8
Shares1,600.0
Total Traded$8.00
Avg Price0.005
ClosedJul 9
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?
BUYYES−$75
Shares6,519.7
Total Traded$75.00
Avg Price0.012
ClosedJul 9
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
BUYYES−$282
Shares2,352.5
Total Traded$282.30
Avg Price0.120
ClosedJul 9
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
BUYYES−$962
Shares30,484.0
Total Traded$961.86
Avg Price0.032
ClosedJul 9
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
BUYYES−$75
Shares6,336.9
Total Traded$74.99
Avg Price0.012
ClosedJul 9

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$769

Win / Loss

4W / 16L

Win Rate

20.0%

Avg Return

-38.4%

1–5 of 20

#1Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 2.4¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#2Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Jul 11, 2026 @ 57.5¢
$100
BUYOVER-100.0%
#3Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
Jul 11, 2026 @ 4.2¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#4Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Jul 11, 2026 @ 12.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#5Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 44.6¢
+$124
BUYYES+124.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.