Skip to main content
LUCKORSKILL
Back to Leaderboard

Caishe...o888

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:sportscs2-furia-fal2-2026-06-21
Edge

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$17K net profit from $1M of volume, with a 55.6% win rate across 198 trades, a 55% skill score, and a 1.7% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
55%
Confidence
91.6%
Share on X

Win Rate

55.6%

Trades

198

Net P&L

+$17.0K

Total Vol

$1.0M

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 198 resolved trades (Beta(106, 87))

Cumulative Realized P&L

198 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 198 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -17.5%

Yes4W / 7L
36.4%

11 resolved positions

No7W / 6L
53.8%

13 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (198)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 198

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+$5.5K
Shares10,035.0
Total Traded$4,515.74
Avg Price0.450
ClosedJul 12
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+$2
Shares204.6
Total Traded$165.77
Avg Price0.810
ClosedJul 12
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
BUY9Z+$633
Shares15,962.7
Total Traded$7,821.74
Avg Price0.490
ClosedJul 12
Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?
BUYNO+$1.1K
Shares31,697.0
Total Traded$30,587.61
Avg Price0.965
ClosedJul 12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+$10.1K
Shares19,998.3
Total Traded$9,890.87
Avg Price0.495
ClosedJul 12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
BUYBILIBILI GAMING−$15.4K
Shares20,000.0
Total Traded$15,400.00
Avg Price0.770
ClosedJul 12
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
BUYFAZE−$259
Shares1,034.4
Total Traded$258.61
Avg Price0.250
ClosedJul 12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
BUYPARIVISION+$1.3K
Shares2,698.0
Total Traded$1,349.09
Avg Price0.500
ClosedJul 11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
BUYPARIVISION−$180
Shares440.0
Total Traded$180.39
Avg Price0.410
ClosedJul 11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
BUYPARIVISION+$995
Shares2,284.0
Total Traded$1,289.38
Avg Price0.565
ClosedJul 11

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$128

Win / Loss

10W / 10L

Win Rate

50.0%

Avg Return

+6.4%

1–5 of 20

#1LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
Jul 12, 2026 @ 45.0¢
+$122
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+122.2%
#2Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
Jul 12, 2026 @ 81.0¢
+$23
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+23.5%
#3Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
Jul 12, 2026 @ 49.0¢
+$104
BUY9Z+104.1%
#4Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 96.5¢
+$4
BUYNO+3.6%
#5LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Jul 12, 2026 @ 49.5¢
+$102
BUYHANWHA LIFE ESPORTS+102.2%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.