Vatrer
Last updated Jul 14, 04:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
A Lot of Motion, Not Much Progress
$37K net profit from $5.2M of volume, with a 50.4% win rate across 119 trades, a 49% skill score, and a 0.7% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 49%
- Confidence
- 45.3%
Win Rate
50.4%
Trades
119
Net P&L
+$37.2K
Total Vol
$5.2M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 119 resolved trades (Beta(53, 54))
Cumulative Realized P&L
119 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 119 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -33.3%
5 resolved positions
12 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (119)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 119
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$368
Win / Loss
9W / 11L
Win Rate
45.0%
Avg Return
-18.4%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.