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0x7298...2160

Last updated Jul 18, 03:02 PM

Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$29K net profit from $41K of volume, with a 100.0% win rate across 2 trades, a 47% skill score, and a 70.3% return on volume.

Only 2 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill
47%
Confidence
43%
Share on X

Win Rate

100.0%

Trades

2

Small Sample

Net P&L

+$29.0K

Total Vol

$41.3K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 2 resolved trades (Beta(5, 6))

Cumulative Realized P&L

2 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

At least 5 resolved trades needed to show a rolling trend. This wallet has 2 resolved trades.

Win Rate by Side

No2W / 0L
100.0%

2 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

00

No active positions

Resolved Trades (2)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

12 of 2

BUYNO+$24.2K
Shares50,000.0
Total Traded$25,000.00
Avg Price0.500
ClosedMay 13
BUYNO+$4.8K
Shares10,000.0
Total Traded$5,000.00
Avg Price0.500
ClosedMay 11

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$200

Win / Loss

2W / 0L

Win Rate

100.0%

Avg Return

+100.0%

#1Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
May 13, 2026 @ 50.0¢
+$100
BUYNO+100.0%
#2Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
May 11, 2026 @ 50.0¢
+$100
BUYNO+100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 2 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.