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enaich

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:politicskharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31
Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Wins Often, Loses Bigger

$380 net loss from $20K of volume, with a 85.5% win rate across 62 trades, a 79% skill score, and a -1.9% return on volume.

Frequent wins are being outweighed by entry prices, position sizing, or larger losses.

Skill
79%
Confidence
>99.9%
Share on X

Win Rate

85.5%

Trades

62

Net P&L

−$380

Total Vol

$20.1K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 62 resolved trades (Beta(47, 13))

Cumulative Realized P&L

62 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 62 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -28.6%

Yes11W / 6L
64.7%

17 resolved positions

No42W / 3L
93.3%

45 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (62)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 62

Will Meta (META) finish week of July 6 above $560?
BUYYES+$1
Shares25.0
Total Traded$24.50
Avg Price0.980
ClosedJul 10
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 6 above $385?
BUYNO+$1
Shares54.9
Total Traded$54.33
Avg Price0.990
ClosedJul 10
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of July 6 above $365?
BUYYES+$0
Shares49.9
Total Traded$49.43
Avg Price0.990
ClosedJul 10
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 6 above $165?
BUYNO+$1
Shares55.0
Total Traded$54.45
Avg Price0.990
ClosedJul 10
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 6 above $170?
BUYNO+$1
Shares55.0
Total Traded$54.45
Avg Price0.990
ClosedJul 10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 6 above $225?
BUYNO+$0
Shares89.9
Total Traded$89.72
Avg Price0.998
ClosedJul 10
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of July 6 2026?
BUYNO+$0
Shares100.0
Total Traded$99.80
Avg Price0.998
ClosedJul 10
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 6 above $550?
BUYYES+$0
Shares19.9
Total Traded$19.48
Avg Price0.980
ClosedJul 10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of July 6 2026?
BUYNO+$1
Shares371.8
Total Traded$370.64
Avg Price0.997
ClosedJul 10
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 6 above $330?
BUYYES+$0
Shares49.9
Total Traded$49.44
Avg Price0.990
ClosedJul 10

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$22

Win / Loss

20W / 0L

Win Rate

100.0%

Avg Return

+1.1%

1–5 of 20

#1Will Meta (META) finish week of July 6 above $560?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 98.0¢
+$2
BUYYES+2.0%
#2Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 6 above $385?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 99.0¢
+$1
BUYNO+1.0%
#3Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of July 6 above $365?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 99.0¢
+$1
BUYYES+1.0%
#4Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 6 above $165?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 99.0¢
+$1
BUYNO+1.0%
#5Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 6 above $170?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 99.0¢
+$1
BUYNO+1.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.