DOLLAR...NTER
Last updated Jul 14, 09:01 PM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$3K net loss from $209K of volume, with a 46.8% win rate across 220 trades, a 47% skill score, and a -1.4% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 47%
- Confidence
- 14.9%
Win Rate
46.8%
Trades
220
Net P&L
−$2.9K
Total Vol
$209.3K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 220 resolved trades (Beta(104, 120))
Cumulative Realized P&L
220 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 220 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +1.2%
39 resolved positions
38 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (220)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 220
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$148
Win / Loss
10W / 10L
Win Rate
50.0%
Avg Return
-7.4%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.