DavidShekel
Last updated Jul 15, 01:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Proven Edge
$48K net profit from $1M of volume, with a 85.4% win rate across 212 trades, a 83% skill score, and a 4.7% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 83%
- Confidence
- >99.9%
Win Rate
85.4%
Trades
212
Net P&L
+$48.3K
Total Vol
$1.0M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 212 resolved trades (Beta(180, 36))
Cumulative Realized P&L
212 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 212 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -32.0%
19 resolved positions
188 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (212)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 212
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$58
Win / Loss
18W / 2L
Win Rate
90.0%
Avg Return
+2.9%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.