TheEmprah
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$28K net profit from $1.2M of volume, with a 70.2% win rate across 191 trades, a 53% skill score, and a 2.3% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 53%
- Confidence
- 69.7%
Win Rate
70.2%
Trades
191
Net P&L
+$27.8K
Total Vol
$1.2M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 191 resolved trades (Beta(33, 29))
Cumulative Realized P&L
191 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 191 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -18.2%
70 resolved positions
116 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (191)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 191
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$20,410
Win / Loss
4W / 16L
Win Rate
20.0%
Avg Return
+1020.5%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.