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dex53

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:sportsworld-cup-winner
Skilled

Wallet Verdict

Proven Edge

$6K net profit from $244K of volume, with a 90.4% win rate across 230 trades, a 88% skill score, and a 2.6% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
88%
Confidence
>99.9%
Share on X

Win Rate

90.4%

Trades

230

Net P&L

+$6.4K

Total Vol

$244.4K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 230 resolved trades (Beta(206, 27))

Cumulative Realized P&L

230 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 230 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: +5.5%

Yes56W / 3L
94.9%

59 resolved positions

No143W / 17L
89.4%

160 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (230)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 230

Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
BUYNO−$25
Shares32.5
Total Traded$24.89
Avg Price0.766
ClosedJul 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?
BUYNO+$2
Shares846.1
Total Traded$844.14
Avg Price0.998
ClosedJul 12
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
BUYNO+$64
Shares1,053.2
Total Traded$989.16
Avg Price0.939
ClosedJul 12
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES+$12
Shares164.6
Total Traded$153.04
Avg Price0.930
ClosedJul 12
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
BUYNO+$87
Shares2,323.9
Total Traded$2,237.37
Avg Price0.963
ClosedJul 12
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES+$168
Shares811.5
Total Traded$643.12
Avg Price0.792
ClosedJul 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?
BUYYES+$9
Shares2,337.9
Total Traded$2,328.49
Avg Price0.996
ClosedJul 12
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
BUYNO+$55
Shares852.5
Total Traded$797.14
Avg Price0.935
ClosedJul 12
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$268
Shares19,199.1
Total Traded$18,930.68
Avg Price0.986
ClosedJul 12
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
BUYYES+$55
Shares302.9
Total Traded$247.64
Avg Price0.817
ClosedJul 12

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$274

Win / Loss

16W / 4L

Win Rate

80.0%

Avg Return

-13.7%

1–5 of 20

#1Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
Jul 13, 2026 @ 76.6¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 99.8¢
+$0
BUYNO+0.2%
#3Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 93.9¢
+$6
BUYNO+6.5%
#4Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 93.0¢
+$8
BUYYES+7.5%
#5Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Jul 12, 2026 @ 96.3¢
+$4
BUYNO+3.9%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.