0x440a...3240
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$74K net loss from $232K of volume, with a 31.4% win rate across 35 trades, a 33% skill score, and a -32.1% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 33%
- Confidence
- 2.2%
Win Rate
31.4%
Trades
35
Medium Sample
Net P&L
−$74.4K
Total Vol
$232.0K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 35 resolved trades (Beta(12, 24))
Cumulative Realized P&L
35 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 35 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -20.6%
17 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (35)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 35
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$272
Win / Loss
8W / 12L
Win Rate
40.0%
Avg Return
-13.6%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.