Skip to main content
LUCKORSKILL
Back to Leaderboard

mybb

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:sportsworld-cup-nation-to-reach-round-of-16
Lucky

Wallet Verdict

The Market Collected

$14K net loss from $22K of volume, with a 11.1% win rate across 36 trades, a 18% skill score, and a -66.0% return on volume.

The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.

Skill
18%
Confidence
0%
Share on X

Win Rate

11.1%

Trades

36

Medium Sample

Net P&L

−$14.5K

Total Vol

$21.9K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 36 resolved trades (Beta(8, 35))

Cumulative Realized P&L

36 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 36 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: +14.8%

Yes4W / 23L
14.8%

27 resolved positions

No0W / 8L
0.0%

8 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (36)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 36

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$311
Shares900.0
Total Traded$311.37
Avg Price0.346
ClosedJul 4
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$471
Shares1,386.9
Total Traded$470.62
Avg Price0.339
ClosedJul 4
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$464
Shares1,800.0
Total Traded$463.71
Avg Price0.258
ClosedJul 4
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$374
Shares1,700.0
Total Traded$373.89
Avg Price0.220
ClosedJul 4
Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$1.0K
Shares3,000.0
Total Traded$1,036.79
Avg Price0.346
ClosedJul 4
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$370
Shares1,000.0
Total Traded$370.00
Avg Price0.370
ClosedJul 4
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO−$420
Shares1,000.0
Total Traded$420.00
Avg Price0.420
ClosedJul 4
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$673
Shares2,000.0
Total Traded$673.00
Avg Price0.337
ClosedJul 4
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$1.0K
Shares2,900.0
Total Traded$1,014.04
Avg Price0.350
ClosedJul 4
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYYES−$504
Shares1,400.0
Total Traded$504.00
Avg Price0.360
ClosedJul 4

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

$1,714

Win / Loss

1W / 19L

Win Rate

5.0%

Avg Return

-85.7%

1–5 of 20

#1Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 4, 2026 @ 34.6¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#2Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 4, 2026 @ 33.9¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#3Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 4, 2026 @ 25.8¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#4Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 4, 2026 @ 22.0¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%
#5Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 4, 2026 @ 34.6¢
$100
BUYYES-100.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.