0x2a5f...6c92
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Wins Often, Loses Bigger
$8K net loss from $49K of volume, with a 69.6% win rate across 23 trades, a 60% skill score, and a -17.1% return on volume.
Frequent wins are being outweighed by entry prices, position sizing, or larger losses.
- Skill
- 60%
- Confidence
- 88.4%
Win Rate
69.6%
Trades
23
Medium Sample
Net P&L
−$8.4K
Total Vol
$48.8K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 23 resolved trades (Beta(19, 13))
Cumulative Realized P&L
23 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 23 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -28.6%
8 resolved positions
14 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (23)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 23
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$390
Win / Loss
14W / 6L
Win Rate
70.0%
Avg Return
+19.5%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.